Saturday 31 October 2020

Day 229 of self-isolation - Is the USA turning the corner?

Is the USA turning the corner?

I don't think so. Yesterday, the number of new Covid cases in the USA was 91530.

Oct 25 - 63514

Oct 26 - 69848

Oct 27 - 75980

Oct 28 - 81585

Oct 29 - 91530

It's also very bad in Europe - very, very bad. UK, Italy, France, Spain and even Germany are seeing a wave of infections greater than we saw last March/April. And deaths are also rising fast.

It would be nice if we'd turned the corner, but the reality is that things are getting worse, rapidly.

In Europe, we're increasingly going to more lockdowns. In America? I have no idea what you guys are doing. You tell me.

South America is even worse than the USA. Iran is deep into their third wave. In Russia cases are roaring up, despite the claim that they have a vaccine.

Personally, I'm back in 100% lockdown. Groceries by delivery van, masking if I go anywhere, I have a good stock of toilet rolls, because we're also going to be hit by a no-deal Brexit soon.

The gleam of light at the end of the tunnel, is the vaccine. The first vaccine to be tested and available will be the Oxford University vaccine. The clinical trials should be complete within a few weeks. Manufacture has not been waiting for approval (the risk is that we'd have to incinerate the doses if the test fails) but if the testing is good, we have the doses ready to go.

What about distribution? That shouldn't be a problem. Even our incompetent government managed to distribute the influenza vaccine recently - I had mine a few weeks ago, and it was very smooth. The side effect was that my arm felt slightly bruised for a few days. The Covid vaccine can go exactly the same route. The distribution will be via NHS hospitals and clinics (I got my flu jab at my local clinic) and also via pharmacies. The big pharmacy chains (and the small retailers) already have a supply system in action, so it can just be fed into that. I expect that the first few days will be for healthcare workers, then for other key workers, then for over-65s, and then down through the age groups.

I could be vaccinated by Christmas.

And as far as I'm concerned, if the NHS says that it is safe, then it is, and I'm going to get vaccinated as soon as it's available to me.


  1. Three facts No 10's experts got wrong: DR MIKE YEADON says claims that the majority of the population is susceptible to Covid, that only 7% are infected so far and virus death rate is 1% are all false

    1. "around 30 per cent of the population was likely already immune to Covid-19 before the virus arrived"IF that is true, then there are still 40 million people susceptible.

      "the mortality rate is closer to 0.2 per cent." If that is true, that leads to 80,000 deaths each time people become infected.

      "The fact is that people don’t get reinfected. "
      The fact is, we do. That's why we catch a cold more than once. The question is, how long does immunity last? That differs from disease to disease.

      "with almost three quarters of the population at no risk of infection, we’re actually very close to achieving herd immunity. "

      If that were true, then we would be seeing the case numbers roaring up as fast as they are.

      "we should demand more honesty and competence from those appointed to look after us."
      Agree 100%

  2. The UK is a net exporter of toilet rolls. It's the French who will have to use Le Monde.